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Fisher Not Taking Jazz Lightly

Fish - D-WillWe’ve talked about it all week … L.A. could still face any one of three teams in the first round: Utah, Dallas or New Orleans. While the Jazz (47-33) might be the most likely opponent at this point, we simply won’t know until Wednesday evening.

Nonetheless, Utah’s 15-25 road record, which includes just two wins over + .500 teams, is puzzling, and prompted a question towards Derek Fisher after Monday’s practice: Can Utah’s road woes be explained by their significant home court advantage being absent? In other words, since the Jazz get such a large mental boost at home, is there a letdown factor on the road?

Fisher didn’t think so. To him, their struggles had more to do with how many games they’ve missed to injuries from Deron Williams, Andrei Kirilenko and especially Carlos Boozer. Regardless, Fisher said the Lakers won’t take the Jazz, or any playoff opponent, at all lightly, and particularly not just because of a regular season trend.

The playoffs, after all, are a different beast.

Utah? New Orleans? Dallas?

CHris Paul - Deron WilliamsWho’s coming into STAPLES Center in a week to face the Lakers in round one? Will it be the Utah Jazz, the current occupiers of the No. 8 seed? What about the Dallas Mavs, just a game up on Utah in the loss column with two to play? Or the New Orleans Hornets, who have tough games at Houston and at San Antonio to close the season?

Who knows.

What we can do it spell out the scenarios and do a bit of speculating:

Utah Jazz (47-33, 8th place)
Remaining Schedule: L.A. Clippers, @ L.A. Lakers (Tuesday)
Outlook: You have to figure that Utah can hold its home court against the Clippers in a must-win game that will put them on 48 wins, but they put themselves in the situation in the first place by inexplicably losing to the Golden State Warriors on Saturday … in Salt Lake City. Huh? Now, what’s going to happen against the Lakers on Tuesday? Does L.A., with nothing to play for, rest its starters? Do they play enough minutes to win so as not to enter the playoffs on a loss? That’ll certainly be interesting to watch. Either way, Utah needs to win out and get one loss from Dallas and two losses from New Orleans. If so, they’ll move out of the eight spot since they own the tiebreaker on both teams.

Dallas Mavericks (48-32, 7th)
Remaining Schedule: Minnesota, Houston
Outlook: The Minnesota game should be a no brainer, but remember, those pesky Timberwolves went into Utah and won last week, putting the Jazz in this situation in the first place. The Houston game will be much tougher, as the Rockets are most likely fighting for home court advantage (they’re in the three spot, a half game up on 5th place San Antonio). Dallas at least controls its own destiny, and if they can hold court at home, they’ll earn at least the seven seed.

New Orleans (49-31, 6th)
Remaining Schedule: @ Houston, @ San Antonio
Outlook: Both games look really tough on paper, but the Spurs are not the Spurs right now. Manu Ginobili is out and Tim Duncan’s playing on one leg, though clearly they can still find a way to beat you. But can N.O. lose both games and still avoid the Lakers? Yes. The Hornets own a tiebreaker over Dallas, but do not with Utah, meaning that the Hornets could drop both games if Utah and Dallas both lose 1-of-2 games. Now, if both Utah and Dallas win both of their games and New Orleans loses both, Dallas would earn the six seed, Utah the seven and New Orleans would get the Lakers. So, basically, the Hornets probably need to win one game to avoid L.A.

Confused yet? That’s why they play the games.

Garnett Shut Down

After Boston’s practice on Tuesday, Celtics head coach Doc Rivers suggested that Kevin Garnett’s knee remains sore, and that he’ll be in dress clothes until at least the final three games of the regular season.

“After watching him today we’re just gonna shut him down until the soreness goes away,” said Rivers, as reported on the Celtics’ Twitter page. “Our goal is the last three games.”

Due in part to KG’s absence, the Celtics have dropped to third place in the East at 56-19, four games in the loss column behind the Lakers. Garnett has missed 15 of Boston’s last 19 games with a sore knee, seven of which Boston has lost.

What’s it all mean? Most likely, that Cleveland (60-13) will earn the East’s top seed, and have home court advantage over Boston (or Orlando) to earn the right to play the West’s champ. Boston has resigned itself to winning on the road in the playoffs instead of pushing Garnett to an early return.

The Lakers and their STAPLES Center faithful would have to nod in agreement with that decision.

Playoff Forecast: Who’s No. 8?

Pau Gasol - Dirk NowitzkiWith a win over New Jersey on Friday night or a San Antonio loss, the Lakers will make official what’s been known for weeks: L.A. will be the No. 1 seed in the Western Conference.

That sentence is just as simple as it is important, since every Western Conference team the Lakers face in the playoffs will have to start out in STAPLES Center, where the Lakers are 31-5 this season (not that a league-best 26-9 on the road is bad).

What’s entirely unknown, however, is whom L.A. will face in the first round, as the eighth spot in the Wild West is less secure than a fan wearing purple and gold in Salt Lake City.

There are literally eight teams that could wind up in the final playoff spot: San Antonio (47-24) looks to be the safest to avoid L.A. in round one with an almost untouchable four game lead on Dallas (43-28) with 11 to play. On the other end, Phoenix (40-32) is 3.5 games outside of the playoffs, but still has a slight chance to sneak in if some team collapses. More likely is that Houston (47-26), Denver (46-26) or New Orleans (44-26) slide back a few spots. However, what’s most likely - based on respective yet-to-play schedules - is that either Portland (45-27) or Utah (44-27) drop into the last spot, or that Dallas stays put.

Still following? Basically, one might limit the speculation for spot No. 8 to three teams - Dallas, Portland and Utah. That said, each team in the mix deserves a closer look, so let’s get to our team-by-team breakdown, with much of the emphasis on the three most likely opponents for L.A.:
Continue reading ‘Playoff Forecast: Who’s No. 8?’

Madness Breakdown with Luke Winn

Luke WinnAs mentioned in today’s practice report, we got a couple of the guys to fill out March Madness Brackets.

To get an expert opinion we called up Sports Illustrated senior college hoops writer Luke Winn to break down the chances for the teams of various Lakers players: Jordan Farmar & Trevor Ariza (UCLA); Luke Walton (Arizona); Shannon Brown (Michigan State); Adam Morrison (Gonzaga) and Kobe Bryant (Duke/Syracuse).

Winn, a Northwestern grad like Lakers Reporter Mike Trudell (don’t worry, you’ll hear more about that in the podcast), spent about 15-minutes talking hoops before catching a flight to Kansas City to see some first round action.

Check out The Popcorn Machine to listen to what Luke had to say.

Bryant Wins Third Western POW Honor

Kobe BryantFor the third time this season, Kobe Bryant was named the Western Conference Player of the Week, this time for games played between Monday, March 9 and Sunday, March 15.

Bryant led his conference in scoring with 28.5 points per game, alongside 5.0 rebounds and 5.0 assists to lead the Lakers to a 3-1 week highlighted by tough road wins in Houston and San Antonio. In the 102-95 win over the Spurs on March 12, Bryant hit a clutch fourth quarter three-pointer (as he did in Sunday’s win over Dallas) while recording 23 points and six assists just a night after scoring 18 fourth quarter points to lead L.A. past the Rockets. The latter road win allowed the Lakers to clinch their 20th Pacific Division title and their 56th postseason appearance in 61 NBA seasons.

Here’s a break down of Bryant’s four-game week, courtesy of the NBA. If you want to review the game more specifically, click on the purple link to read the respective running diaries:

March 9 @ Portland: Recorded 26 points and three assists in a 111-94 loss to the Trail Blazers.
March 11 @ Houston: Posted 37 points, six assists, five rebounds and four steals in a 102-96 win over the Rockets.
March 12 @ San Antonio: Tallied 23 points, six assists and four rebounds in a 102-95 win over the Spurs.
March 15 vs. Dallas: Scored 28 points, and added eight rebounds and five assists in a 107-100 win over the Mavericks.

LeBron James, Bryant’s primary competition in the MVP race, won in the Eastern Conference. Other nominees were Atlanta’s Joe Johnson, Cleveland’s Mo Williams, Dallas’ Dirk Nowitzki, Miami’s Dwyane Wade, New Orleans’ Chris Paul, New York’s Nate Robinson, Philadelphia’s Thaddeus Young and Portland’s Brandon Roy.

Lakers Have Played Big in Big Games

Lakers TeamThere’s one factor that stands out above all others in L.A.’s 52-13 start to the 2008-09 season: the Lakers have really brought it when it’s counted, with almost no exceptions throughout the season.

Of the Lakers 13 losses, only three (arguably) have come against serious title-contending teams (Utah, San Antonio, New Orleans), and each had its own reasonable out-clause (fatigue, injury, interest). The other losses generally came when the Lakers simply didn’t match their opponent’s energy, for whatever reason. Now, there’s no suggesting that it’s a good thing not to bring it 100 percent, but after all, it’s an 82-game season, and chances are slim that a lack of energy will plague the purple and gold in the playoffs.

Alas, here’s a list of L.A.’s losses, with the primary reason for losing in parentheses: vs Detroit (energy), at Indiana (energy), at Sacramento (energy), at Miami (energy), at Orlando (lack of respect), New Orleans (energy, game 7), at San Antonio (injuries), Orlando (three-point shooting, energy) Charlotte (energy), at Utah (fatigue, game 7), at Denver (energy, game 7*), at Phoenix (energy, game 7) and at Portland (energy vs. crazed team/fans [game 7]).
*The opponent played as if it were their own game seven in the playoffs.

Excuses about energy, lack of respect for an opponent and the like are certainly easy to come by, and could probably be said about the league’s other two elite teams in terms of wins and losses (Boston and Cleveland). Simply put, other teams go after the league’s top dogs with more fervor. However, L.A.’s record clearly shows that when they do come to play, they almost always win, no matter whom they’re playing. The evidence follows below, with quick summaries of and links to each of L.A.’s important games this season. Our respective Lakers Gameday pages include links to each game’s running diary, postgame story, box score and more.

Take a gander:

Nov. 12: Lakers 93, Hornets 86 (7-0)
- Coming days after decisive road wins in Denver and Dallas to start the season, this victory was particularly impressive as the Lakers came out with guns fully blazing, forcing the Hornets to exert full effort just to get back into the game. L.A. emerged unblemished with a 7-0 record.

Nov. 20: Lakers 105, Suns 92 (9-1)
The Lakers improved to 4-0 in four tough Western Conference cities against a team featuring Steve Nash, Amare Stoudemire and Shaq with a Lakers-hating fan base. No matter.

Dec. 23: Lakers 100, Hornets 87 (23-5)
After last-minute losses in Miami and Orlando - L.A.’s first two-game losing streak of the season - the Lakers responded with wins in Memphis and, more impressively, in New Orleans for the second time. At this point in the season, the Lakers had yet to lose when bringing a full effort.

Dec. 25: Lakers 92, Celtics 83 (24-5)
This game was set to be L.A.’s biggest of the regular season even before Boston marched in with a 19-game winning streak, but thanks to Kobe Bryant’s 27 points, nine rebounds and five assists and some clutch hoops from Pau Gasol, the Lakers were equal to an important task.

Jan. 13: Lakers 105, Rockets 100 (31-6)
Sinking late three-pointers was to become a frequent custom of Kobe Bryant’s, but his final-minute bomb put the next of L.A.’s tough road victims down in Houston.

Jan. 14: Spurs 112, Lakers 111 (31-7)
The first of L.A.’s losses in a game where they gave full effort came very narrowly, when Roger Mason Jr. hit a jumper with 10 seconds left and made a free throw after being fouled by Derek Fisher. L.A. was shorthanded, however, missing both Luke Walton and Sasha Vujacic to injuries, and Lamar Odom had come back from a bone bruise early to play.

Jan. 19: Lakers 105, Cavaliers 88 (32-8)
One game after L.A. took Orlando lightly for the second time - and lost due to late three-pointers for the second time - there was no messing around with the Cleveland Cavs. L.A. dominated the Eastern Conference contenders, not allowing LeBron James much room at all thanks to Kobe Bryant’s defense.

Jan. 25: Lakers 99, Spurs 85 (35-8)
The Lakers avenged their earlier loss to the Spurs in style, getting a solid effort from Andrew Bynum (his first of a torrid stretch) to win by 14. Boston, Cleveland and San Antonio had all come out of STAPLES empty-handed.

Feb. 2: Lakers 126, Knicks 117 (38-9)
A game after the emotional letdown of Andrew Bynum’s ACL injury, Kobe Bryant was completely ridiculous en route to an NBA season-high 61 points, all of which L.A. needed against an offensively effective if defensively weak Knicks team.

Feb. 5: Lakers 110, Celtics 109 (40-9)
Without question, this was the signature win of L.A.’s season. Going into Boston - this time riding a 12-game winning streak - and winning a hard-nosed game without backing down made as big of a statement as can be made in the regular season.

Feb. 8: Lakers 101, Cavaliers 91 (41-9)
Just three days after the huge win in Boston, L.A. became the first team to beat Cleveland at home on the season, getting an inspired 28 points and 17 rebounds from Lamar Odom, who’d been huge in Andrew Bynum’s absence.

Feb. 11: Jazz 113, Lakers 109 (42-10)
L.A. certainly brought a solid effort in perhaps the toughest road arena in the league, but looked tired in its 8th game in 14 nights - in eight different cities. Utah took advantage and ultimately won on a Mehmet Okur three with just over a minute left.

Mar. 11: Lakers 102, Rockets 96 (51-13)
L.A. had just lost three consecutive road games in which it was clear that its respective opponents had come with more energy. Denver, Phoenix and Portland had all brought considerable fire to the Lakers, who couldn’t ultimately match it in March. Furthermore, Houston had won 12 in a row at home and L.A. was without Lamar Odom, but the team re-found their mojo thanks in part to Kobe Bryant’s huge fourth quarter.

Mar. 12: Lakers 102, Spurs 95 (52-13)
Returning to the building that had produced a narrow lost, L.A. made no mistake about their chance for redemption, exploding to a huge first quarter and holding on to compile a 7-1 record against contenders San Antonio, Boston and Cleveland.

Put it all together, and L.A. is 12-2 against the league’s best when putting forth a full effort, with or without Andrew Bynum. That ain’t bad.

Player’s Poll: Kobe By A Mile

Kobe Bryant - WestbrookIn the February 16th edition of Sports Illustrated, 190 NBA players were asked the following question: “With the game on the line, which NBA player would you want to take the last shot?

It’s no surprise that L.A.’s MVP, Kobe Bryant, led all vote getters. But it wasn’t just a win, it was a massacre. Here are the results:

Kobe Bryant, Lakers, G — 76%
Chauncey Billups, Nuggets, G — 3%
LeBron James, Cavs, F — 3%
Paul Pierce, Celtics, F — 3%
Dwyane Wade, Heat, G — 2%

There you have it.

Gasol Named Player of the Month

After helping the Lakers to an impressive 11-2 record, and pulling down back-to-back player of the week honors, Pau Gasol was officially named the Western Conference Player of the Month for February.

Gasol averaged 20.9 points on .586 shooting and 10.9 rebounds.

Check out the Press Release here.

Gasol Earns Second Straight P.O.W. Honors

What we didn’t talk about with Pau Gasol in our extended interview was how L.A.’s center/power forward won his second consecutive Western Conference Player of the Week award.

In joining Kobe Bryant with two such accolades this season, Gasol led the Lakers to a 4-0 record last week while averaging 20.3 points on 63.5 percent shooting, grabbing 10.8 rebounds, tossing 6.5 assists while blocking one shot per game. Pau’s terrific week was highlighted by his third career triple-double when he scored 12 points with 13 rebounds and 10 assists in three quarters of L.A.’s 96-83 win over Atlanta on Feb. 17.

Here’s a rundown of Gasol’s four games between Tuesday, Feb. 17 and Sunday, Feb. 22:

Feb. 17 vs. Atlanta: Put up his first triple-double as a Laker with 12 points, 13 rebounds and 10 assists in a 96-83 win over the Hawks.
Feb. 18 @ Golden State: Registered 24 points, 13 boards and five dimes in a 129-121 win over the Warriors.
Feb. 20 vs. New Orleans: Contributed 20 points, 12 rebounds and six assists in L.A.’s 115-111 OT win against the Hornets.
Feb. 22 @ Minnesota: Scored 25 points, grabbed five rebounds, dished five assists and blocked two shots as the Lakers defeated the Timberwolves 111-108.

Among the players Gasol narrowly beat out was Lamar Odom, who was fantastic himself in averaging 18.5 points on 54.9 percent shooting, 14.5 rebounds, 3.25 assists, 1.25 steals and 1.25 blocks.

Over in the Eastern Conference, Dwight Howard took home the honor by averaging 25.5 points, 15.0 rebounds and 4.3 blocks while leading the Magic to a 3-1 week.